Bank of England Rates Decision: What to Expect on 20 June

Caz Blake-Symes • June 18, 2024

Adapted from an article by James Gard, of Morningstar.com, 13 June, 2024


August seems more likely than June for a rate cut, but there is still a chance the Bank wrongfoots market consensus

The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 5.25% when it meets next week, following a no-change decision on May 8.


Unlike May’s meeting, June 20’s decision will just be accompanied by a brief statement rather than the full monetary policy report and press briefing. So if there is no change to interest rates this week, there will be little guidance on when this is likely to happen.


Alongside the statement, one clue will come from the voting patterns: last month seven members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to hold, while two voted for a cut. It’s likely that more of the MPC join the cut cohort, but probably not enough to force a decision.

Money markets, as measured by overnight index swaps, suggest that August 1 is still the most likely date for the Bank of England to make its first rate cut since 2020.


August seems more likely from the point of view of the Bank’s calendar; the quarterly monetary policy report and press conference give policymakers more scope to explain decisions.


Contact Us

For further details about the mortgage and protection products we offer as a fully independent mortgage broker, or any other mortgage information, book your FREE CONSULTATION with one of our expert Mortgage and Protection Advisers.

Bristol Mortgages Online           www.bristolmortgagesonline.com           Tel 0117 325 1511

Bath Mortgages Online                 www.bathmortgagesonline.com             Tel 01225 584 888

Weston Mortgages Online            www.westonmortgagesonline.com        Tel 01934 442 023

Exeter Mortgages Online             www.exetermortgagesonline.com         Tel 01392 690 888



Remortgaging vs. Product Transfers Our Guide

By Caz Blake-Symes • March 17, 2026
If your current mortgage deal is coming to an end, you’ve likely started hearing the words "remortgage" and "product transfer" thrown around. In today’s shifting economic climate, making sure you are on the best possible mortgage rate is more important than ever.

Understanding Mortgage Affordability in 2026

By Caz Blake-Symes • February 16, 2026
we enter 2026, mortgage affordability remains one of the biggest concerns for homebuyers and homeowners alike. With interest rates, living costs, and lending criteria continuing to evolve, understanding what lenders look at when assessing affordability is more important than ever.

First home, faster with My First Mortgage from Santander

By Caz Blake-Symes • February 9, 2026
On 3 February, Santander are the first large lender to launch a First-time Buyer Mortgage over 95% LTV. It’s called My First Mortgage and is up to 98% LTV. Supporting FTBs is a key focus for us whilst lending responsibly.

Check out our January 2026 Newsletter!

By Caz Blake-Symes • January 19, 2026
This month’s edition is packed full of informative articles, including • Welcome and overview from Phil Clark • Base rate cut to 3.75%: what could it mean for mortgages? • Interest-Only Mortgages For Later Life. • Need Short-Term Property Finance? • What You Should Know About Second Charge Mortgages • Time to Remortgag

Thinking of Moving or Changing Your Mortgage in 2026?

By Caz Blake-Symes • January 6, 2026
Image courtesy of Freepix Happy New Year! Hope you all had a good Christmas Break and avoided the dreaded coughs and colds. I had the opportunity over the holiday to review many of the various property and finance reports available online, as well as those to which I subscribe. Pleasingly, the general tone is very opti

Season's Greetings from Phil Clark

By Caz Blake-Symes • December 20, 2025
I would like to wish you and your family a very Merry Christmas and a Happy and Healthy 2026

Base rate cut to 3.75%: what could it mean for mortgages?

By Caz Blake-Symes • December 18, 2025
The Bank of England meets every six weeks to decide what should happen to interest rates, with the aim of keeping inflation to its target and keeping the wider economy healthy. Today, Base Rate was cut from 4% to 3.75%.

House Price Index: November 2025

By Caz Blake-Symes • December 8, 2025
With the Budget uncertainty now lifted, buyers and sellers can return to making decisions about their next move. Removing the threat of a new annual property tax from 210,000 homes for sale will help revive market activity in higher-value areas. However, the lack of any stamp duty reform means homebuyers will continue

Check out our November newsletter!

By Caz Blake-Symes • November 28, 2025
Please click here to see our November newsletter This month’s edition is packed full of interesting articles, including What does the Budget mean for you? Interest-Only Mortgages For Later Life. Need Short-Term Property Finance? What is the Renters’ Rights Act, and what does it mean for tenants? What You Should Know About Second Charge Mortgages Time to Remortgage? Stunning 5-star Google Reviews! Let Us Help You If You Have Adverse Credit How to Contact Us You can also read more articles on our Blog. We hope you enjoy this Newsletter. If you have any queries, please call Phil Clark on 0117 325 1511 or email info@swmortgages.com

Budget 2025: Key points at a glance

By Caz Blake-Symes • November 27, 2025
Rachel Reeves has set out details of her second Budget since becoming Chancellor. Some measures from the yearly tax and spending plan had already been announced in the days leading up to the statement.